Friday, March 12, 2010

Bits and Bobs: Trouble Brewing

  • The new Allentown ACLU and the Council of Spanish Speaking Organizations of the Lehigh Valley rolled out a free hotline to provide information about immigrant rights and track civil rights violations.
  • Homebase has a good post with some details on the Bethlehem Skate Plaza. Are you voting daily on Pepsi Refresh?
  • The State Police raid on popular Philly bars over unlicensed beer brands looks to have created a groundswell of outrage in opposition to Pennsylvania's insane Prohibition-era liquor laws. Lew Bryson has an excellent post demolishing the idiotic logic behind brand licensing, and Glenn at The El Vee has a very good detailed summary of what happened in Philly. We'll keep beating the drum on this. Stay tuned.
  • Joe Hoeffel releases an ethics reform plan. I like his idea to limit campaign donations to $5000 and his plan to end no-bid contracts. Anything else in here that you think is noteworthy?
  • Andrew Kleiner is organizing a tour of the South Mountain Reservoir as the first Remember Meet-Up of 2010. Very cool. You can RSVP on Facebook.
  • Pat Toomey, like Charlie Dent and Herbert Hoover, doesn't think the government should do anything about unemployment, no matter how small-bore and obvious.
  • Independent House candidate Jake Towne is kicking off his petition drive. He needs to get almost 4000 signatures by August. There's not much I agree with Towne about, aside from his civil liberties positions and the need to cut Pentagon waste, but I'm impressed by his work ethic. I'll be surprised if he doesn't have these signatures within a month.
  • The Coffee Party, the stronger and more delicious progressive counterweight to the right wing Tea Parties, is moving into off-line organizing. They are holding National Coffee House Day meet-ups all over the country this Saturday. The Lehigh Valley chapter is meeting at Wired Cafe on Main Street in Bethlehem from noon to 2.

Where's Dent on the House GOP Budget?


“Maybe it’s smart politics to avoid controversial issues, but it sure isn’t the kind of leadership people want in Washington,” says Dent campaign manager Shawn Millan. “Once you’re a candidate you owe answers. Pat Toomey, challenger for Senate, talks about issues regularly. Even Siobhan Bennett, in her disastrous run, at least talked about issues while running for Congress from the start."

A month ago I wrote about the controversial alternative Republican budget written by Rep. Paul Ryan. As a refresher, the Congressional Budget Office scored Ryan's budget as eliminating the deficit by 2060, which he achieves by taking a chainsaw to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, turning Medicare into a voucher system with diminishing benefits, and reducing overall tax revenue.

I asked if this was a budget that Charlie Dent could support, since it achieves the vague criteria for entitlement cuts he has alluded to, and doesn't raise taxes, which he has ruled out. There's simply no way to get around brutalizing these programs with the severity that Ryan does if you aren't also willing to raise more revenue.

So whatever Dent's plan is, it's pretty safe to say it would look like Paul Ryan's - especially since Ryan would be the guy writing the official budget if Republicans take back the House.

The plan has since been widely celebrated by conservative opinion-makers, and has already been co-sponsored by several of Dent's fellow House Republicans.

So why the silence from Charlie?

Thursday, March 11, 2010

Boscola is Key Vote in Judiciary Committee on Anti-Marriage Equality Amendment

I received an email from a friend and activist in the LGBT community last night that I wanted to share:
Friends -
We have an opportunity to stop the proposed constitutional amendment (SB707) to ban marriage equality in Pennsylvania. One Lehigh Valley Democrat is standing in the way, Lisa Boscola.

The amendment is currently in the judiciary committee, and if Lisa votes no, it dies in committee - if she votes yes, it goes straight to the Senate floor! Lisa Boscola has supported anti-gay bills in the past, and she hasn't confirmed how she will vote this time.

Please do your part - especially if you live in her district, but even if you don't. Call her office and tell her to VOTE NO on the anti-equality Constitutional Amendment to ban same-sex marriage in Pennsylvania when it comes to a vote in the Judiciary Committee.Please call both the local office (if you live in her district, the one closest to you) and her office in Harrisburg.

BETHLEHEM OFFICE --
(610) 868-8667
WHITEHALL OFFICE --
(610) 266-2117
POCONO OFFICE -- (570) 420-2938
HARRISBURG OFFICE
-- (717) 787-4236

Bits and Bobs: Rain, Really?

Happy Thursday y'all!
  • Senators Ron Wyden and Judd Gregg came out with a tax reform bill with an awesome feature that could put H&R Block and TurboTax out of business. Which is a good thing.
  • Credit where it's due - State Senator Pat Browne's (R-Lehigh) idea for an Independent Fiscal Office is really good, and Mary Soderberg is totally wrong. This is a good government issue. The more good data the government has from independent disinterested sources, the better.
  • Speaking of data, influential information designer Edward Tufte is helping the Obama administration present stimulus data in a way that is easy to understand. This is another good government issue I think is important. Transparency is not just about releasing spreadsheets and data sets. It's about organizing budget information in a way that helps people put things in perspective.
  • I do not like Pat Browne's proposal to make Pennsylvania the first state to have a state firearm.
  • Voltaix is a good score for the Slate Belt, considering the fast-growing markets they serve - semiconductors and solar.
  • Many states are basically gambling with their pension funds. I want to hear more specifics from the Gubernatorial candidates.

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Primary Ballots are Shaping Up

While the petition period for independent and non-major party candidates is just getting underway, the bulk of the primary ballot is now set in Pennsylvania.

You can click on the link marked "2010 Candidate List" on this page for a .pdf version of the full 65-page list of successful petitioners in the Commonwealth. In a hurry? John Micek at the Morning Call has a comprehensive listing of elections of regional interest.

A few highlights:
  • Bob Mensch, who won the special election in the 24th state senate district last fall, will be challenged by Northampton County teacher Bill Wallace in the general election. Both are unopposed in their primaries. Wallace doesn't appear to have his website up yet.
  • Republican Karen Beyer faces a primary challenge from Justin J. Simmons of Upper Saucon Township, who may have a web site, but I can't find it.
  • Republican Doug Reichley is facing first-time candidate Democrat Patrick J. Slattery in the 134th district. Slattery has been gearing up for this run for about a year now and is an extremely hard worker. We'll be keeping a close eye on this race here.
  • Mathew Benol managed to get enough signatures to be placed on the Republican ballot in the PA-15 Congressional race. This means Charlie Dent will have to first get past Benol before running against Callahan and Towne in the general. Under normal circumstances, I wouldn't imagine this would be a problem, but 2010 hasn't really been very normal so far, so who knows?
Primary election day is Tuesday May 18th.

    Grassroots Efforts to Increase School Funding on the Rise

    With friends all over the country, I'm starting to witness a trend in my facebook feed: parents and other property owners are rising up and demanding that someone raise their taxes!

    Yes, you read that right. Across the nation, grassroots efforts aimed at increasing taxes to support public schools are taking hold.

    From the state of Oregon to Lakewood, Ohio, to Albermarle County, Virginia, people are realizing that fully funding public schools benefits not only their children, but also their property values. They are seeing the long-term implications of underfunded schools. They are literally campaigning to tax themselves more.

    The efforts aren't confined to well-to-do enclaves, either. Lakewood is a middle-working class suburb of Cleveland, a city in a state whose struggles are worse than ours here in Pennsylvania. The state of Oregon includes liberal towns like Portland, but also includes more conservative and rural areas like Madras.

    It's refreshing to see citizens taking the longer view and understanding the investment represented in school taxes. Will we see a similar groundswell here?

    Bethlehem Superintendent Search Update

    Yesterday was the final day to submit applications for consideration in the Bethlehem Area School District, and according to Sara Satullo of the Express-Times, at least 30 educational professionals have done so.

    The search firm hired to assist the school board conducted focus groups with a dozen community groups. The feedback from these groups is being integrated into the interview and hiring process. Not surprisingly, the chief concern of Bethlehem citizens is finding a leader who can help guide the district out of its precarious financial situation.

    Speaking as a BASD resident, parent and taxpayer, I want to especially highlight the fact that the openness of this process is a direct result of citizen involvement. Without these efforts, the search might have gone on in the usual manner, with little input from taxpayers.

    It took an enormous financial crisis and the threat of draconian budget cuts to wake folks up to the fact that the district needed us. Now, with our children and our money in their hands, the Bethlehem Area School Board and the new Superintendent will know they work for us. Going forward after the hire, we can't let them forget that.

    Callahan Makes Red to Blue List

    The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee will unveil its first list of "Red to Blue" candidates for the 2010 cycle today, and Bethlehem Mayor John Callahan is on it. CQ Politics reports:
    According to the committee, candidates selected for the program this cycle must surpass “demanding fundraising goals” and demonstrate their political abilities before making the list. But now that these Democrats are in the program, the committee offers them financial, communication, grass-roots and strategic support.
    Two Pennsylvania representatives, Patrick Murphy and Allyson Schwartz, will be among the co-chairs of the effort. The full list of 13 candidates includes one other Pennsylvania race, PA-07, where Bryan Lentz is working to retain Joe Sestak's seat. Sestak is giving up that seat to challenge Arlen Specter in the Democratic primary.

    Marijuana Reform and the State Budget

    USA Today has a good article on the growing number of states reconsidering the prevailing criminal justice approach to curbing the medical and recreational use of marijuana. The issue seems to be nearing a tipping point, based in good part on generational momentum.

    The argument state legislators seem to be finding most persuasive is relief for state budgets:
    Now California's Legislature is considering a bill that would make it the first state to legalize marijuana for recreational use as well. It is unlikely to pass this year, but Gray and other advocates hope to have a proposition on the November ballot that would legalize marijuana use for anyone 21 or older. California would levy taxes that the state tax board says could raise $1.3 billion or more a year for the deficit-plagued state, while saving tens of millions in prison and law-enforcement costs. Sponsors of the ballot issue have turned in 690,161 signatures on petitions for verification, far more than the 433,971 valid signatures required to get on the ballot.
    Obviously there are many factors that make California unique, and most states would not see the same amount of revenue. In fact it seems likely that professionalization of the trade would push the cost of marijuana below current street prices. But even a gain of half a billion dollars in revenue would be a huge relief for the state.

    Apart from allowing states to collect taxes (at the high level of alcohol and cigarettes) there would presumably be several other fiscal benefits. For instance, the policy would place less of a burden on scarce law enforcement resources, and would decrease the prison population.

    At a time when states are putting every possible revenue-raising strategy on the table to prevent draconian budget cuts, it seems to me that the state doesn't have anything to lose by skipping over the "medical" placeholder law and opting for a tax-and-regulate approach. What would happen if Pennsylvania became the first state in the country to tax and regulate marijuana for recreational use? Imagine the level of investment that would pour into the state, particularly in regions with great agricultural capacity.

    Tuesday, March 9, 2010

    Wagner's Lonely Support for a Constitutional Convention


    Gubernatorial hopeful Jack Wagner is shaking up an otherwise sleepy race, becoming the first candidate to call for a Constitutional Convention, and seizing the good-government mantle:
    During an appearance on a Sunday morning political talk show on Pittsburgh's KDKA-TV, Mr. Wagner responded to a question by saying a constitutional convention is the best way to involve the citizens in creating necessary reform.

    "Having a review by the public of how this government functions is a good thing, and that's what a constitutional convention is all about," said Mr. Wagner on Monday. "State government needs structural reform, that's what the people are saying and I hear it everywhere I go."

    Limiting the size the state legislature and changing rules governing redistricting are the major constitutional issues that Mr. Wagner said citizens are concerned about. He was reluctant to discuss the specifics of a convention, such as how delegates would be selected or what role the General Assembly would play in the process.
    While his prescriptions are pretty vague, the possibility that this could become a major election issue is encouraging. Wagner's ideas to shrink the legislature and reform the redistricting process are largely in line with changes I have previously argued for in this space.

    There's more...

    Polar Opposite Polls

    David Jarman, The Numerologist at Salon.com, has a post today about Arlen Specter's chances of getting re-elected this year that confirms our thoughts about the polling at this point:

    Arlen Specter is stuck in a deep hole as he seeks a sixth term in the U.S. Senate. No, wait -- he’s actually in decent shape, running ahead of his potential Republican opponent. Both of these statements are actually supported by the numbers. It just depends which pollster you believe.
    Jarman compares the results of the "likely" versus "registered" voters polled by Rassmussen and Quinnipiac, and then throws in F&M's poll for good measure. F&M seems to confirm the Ras and Quinn polls:

    F&M offered both likely voter and registered voter models, and found Specter leading Toomey 44-40 percent among the broad pool of registered voters, and Toomey ahead of Specter 44-34 percent among the narrower likely voter pool.
    Democrats need to be looking at these polls as they head into the primary voting booth to choose between Specter and Sestak. If ever a primary was about electability, this one is it.

    Good News On the Valley Job Front

    Gregory Karp is reporting that the Manpower survey shows promising signs for job-seekers in the Lehigh Valley.
    From April to June, 13 percent of Lehigh Valley companies interviewed by staffing service Manpower Inc. said they plan to hire more employees. Just 2 percent of companies expected to reduce payrolls.

    That's a dramatic turnaround from the previous survey. It found 10 percent of companies planned to hire while 12 percent planned staff cutbacks.
    This is obviously welcome news. In a related story, the Senate will soon vote on the extension of unemployment benefits that was blocked last week by Kentucky Republican Senator Jim Bunning. That bill now contains a range of tax cuts and incentives, as well as the "Doc Fix" for Medicare that prevents the program from implementing cuts in reimbursements to doctors.

    This bill offsets some of its cost by closing tax loopholes. By providing extended financial support for people who have been unemployed a for a long time, it helps keep consumer demand up since nearly 100% of those dollars will wind up back in the economy in the form of purchases of goods and services.

    Bits and Bobs: "More Scrutiny of Budget Spin, Please" Edition

    Pretty slow news day today. Some dusty stories here from over the weekend too:
    • Gubernatorial candidates discuss the looming pension crisis. All candidates admit the need to make some tough choices, except Tom Corbett, who only mentions the low-hanging fruit of changing the vesting age - about 1/10th of 1% of the problem. Courageous!
    • Ed Rendell also had a laugh at Tom Corbett over his no-tax pledge, saying he "needs to have his head examined." He also challenges the media to ask Corbett, and others who would slash the budget without raising new revenue, what specific programs they want to cut and what the effects will be. I hope reporters will ask all the candidates whether they support all the exemptions in the current tax code.
    • This story on the Americus hotel describes an interesting carrot-and-stick strategy for improving blighted properties in Allentown. Are Bethlehem and Easton doing anything similar?
    • Politico has a piece on Tea Party candidates falling short in elections. I've been making this argument for a while, and I guess we'll see if I'm right in November, but I really just don't see any way to keep growing the Tea Party beyond the small core of people who are currently interested in it. It's not like there's a coherent common worldview there beyond inchoate anger at the government. You hear a lot about cutting spending, but when even self-identified conservatives voters are asked what they want to cut, it turns out they love all categories of Big Government spending. Again, reporters should make sure to ask candidates what specific programs they want to see cut.

    Sunday, March 7, 2010

    Bits and Bobs: Weekend News Round-Up

    Hope everyone got a chance to get out and enjoy the beautiful weather this weekend. Lots of topics here to discuss in the comments.
    • In response to a boomlet of civil rights abuses, most notably the odious Illegal Immigration Relief Act promoted by racist demagogue Lou Barletta, the ACLU has opened a regional office in Allentown.
    • Arlen Specter still won't renounce his support for a massive redistribution of wealth from the middle class to the wealthy, and thinks that people making 40K should pay the same tax rate as Paris Hilton. What makes the tax code complicated isn't its progressive structure - it's the unclear definition of the tax base.
    • Chris Casey has some good observations about Joe Sestak's appearance at the Lehigh County Democrats Committee meeting.
    • Gov. Ed Rendell made a stop in Allentown to talk about his budget, as one of a series of appearances around the state. He answered some questions for the Steve Esack of the Morning Call about education.
    • Paul Muschick has a good piece on shady dealings in the insurance market for limited medical-benefit plans. These practices will be regulated out of existence when the health care bill passes.
    • Missed this last week: Philadelphia Inquirer editorial board has some good ideas for reforming PA's redistricting process, to make elections more competitive. The bill recently introduced by Babette Josephs (D-Philadelphia) is pretty weak. I would like to see a Constitutional amendment entrusting this process to a non-partisan board.
    • The decline in homeownership nationally is in part driven by a generational shift toward renting, which makes a lot of sense - Millenials put a high premium on mobility. How will this trend affect property taxes?
    • I wonder what fiscal conservatives think about this sort of thing. I get that conservatives are very opposed to spending taxpayer money on things where there's a net loss of money, but what about spending on upgrades that will save money, and so will pay for themselves? Do conservatives think this category of spending is justified?
    • And don't miss this real treat of a Southside Bethlehem history lesson from Stephen Antalics. Does someone have contact info for Stephen?